Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 4:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 4:22:00 P.M. to 08/07/2026, 4:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81,427.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
40,711.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40712 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 4:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
81,427.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
40,715.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
40,711.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 40,711.6 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:21:35 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
40,711.6 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:22:46 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
20,048.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:20:25 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
41,345.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:23:58 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:19:14 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:25:09 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:18:04 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:26:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
40,715.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:22:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
40,715.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:22:55 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Tx: 0x00450010f1cee783a3c5d7baa0d6296a58f7f3016905c5e2eb22adec729d68dd
40,711.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:22:42 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0029003c39c0b98e6e320789aabe5a9b85ab88ac2d397c2f61df1dd03080120c