Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 4:14:00 P.M. to 08/07/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 610.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
610.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 610 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
610.44 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
403.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
106.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
Net sender
Unknown type
101.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 610.44 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
1,084.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:13:19 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
610.44 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:14:30 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
40,802.22 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:12:08 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:15:43 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
40,797.98 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:10:57 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
81,388.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:16:53 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
20,010.93 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:09:46 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:18:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
403.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:14:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
101.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:14:15 P.M.
From: 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d002558fc92fe6aeccd8c486a3806b0893441c9726514f3a63a626bdbb7b4
106.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:14:15 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0044004e90a5858cb7e7dba595503b8c8571e745593d68df4e0ad848897fa457
403.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:14:15 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049001eb79274b4b510269b8debfb9577ef5d369223022d4d86e7548dafcbfc