Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 2:00:00 P.M. to 08/07/2026, 2:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,299.68
Unexplained QUAI: 8,427.02
Explained QI: 542.85
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
5.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
27
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
9,726.71 QUAI
542.85 QI
Avg confidence
64.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 9727 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 27 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 2:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 27 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,299.68 QUAI across 25 visible rows
0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,061.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
542.86 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
542.86 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001cD04bd83aF223828140774023349d3e3e2E28
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 542.85 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
9,726.71 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:00:14 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:59:03 P.M.
+1 min
54 tx
1,653.4 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:01:26 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:57:53 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:56:42 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:02:37 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:55:30 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate52 tx
4,000,606.71 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:03:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,061.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
All transfers in this selected minute
27 transactions
6.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00135fe309CC02fB5E7dE8A0863F45Fc4cD43fC0
Tx: 0x003d0015fe69ca00c04f4b59ee906f5fa1087248622a4e44fc2df22943098bec
6.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001A5f396665F9700f691C29a9b4465A9E06cb1a
Tx: 0x003d001404fcc3f02c73f559990870b15b96b6fb0a5b149a89fd79a91464924a
5.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003ED1F6579a7Ca4B7580Db53F6976EccFcE21Ca
Tx: 0x0034006d63a19a4d786f145523d3bfffee9d8e4c3e70f492efe8a18e575f7e70
4.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00058Bd2B480cc01a46240f7824f438b6EA081D0
Tx: 0x0011005bf0fe5e8a02696a561d0a36a305c37f535c78e157bec869bf13f59aa8
9.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005a6cF114b2b3D74C03e818346510171EfbB995
Tx: 0x00020031ab3b0ce94c86be0834f46978c7d00e8b80d96762aff282d9b8692cbd
17.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Tx: 0x000700533416ec6bdcdf314ac2f4858fea5ebc6ebd19eb7fd68dbd8084e5b22d
6.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00747BB496f1D32FF079D39BfC1Ab4538761196e
Tx: 0x0079004488fd627654069ae3f62548dd866d98dada302017c46fd4a4966f50c3
4.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Tx: 0x0077001090034a9fbda080c57ff505fd47c45a0ca8c4790bd4a9048fa46bc52e
6.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0024DBF40f45933C612320690DdDf15ab2BB09ef
Tx: 0x00760059eb0f300d11a485e8e3eb82782baf1f3cd7faaf789297608e8dbe506e
5.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00499820cd45eC441c20F0bD6AA3Dec765767d19
Tx: 0x003b00282c832616aaca286274cffbb7c17e5f02abb61598550e45d58d3394a6
5.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0022C61eEC8e434DE4D0a2733cdf6FF707dB75ed
Tx: 0x004800658c2a343a3bfe00125f0af5911b62c453969e5396ba8ad5bfb24c4893
21.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001554946Cab1E561D6D85231DA724EB1F50243
Tx: 0x002d0011d08abc3f66ddc5068576874e669b28848b3513e6f412b18de275f25f
5.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000A766df7ba011c8682F90126370f308De0C69E
Tx: 0x0077004d15086eb5b476e30d0838da09d5a992dfedb9054e297dadeca44e656b
6.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006e8a469FCe92887190762765B42CD78CE45CC5
Tx: 0x000b00237fdfb4f040287593e3ee55eb554906d7a8e6b10ae4db51a5c680ac2d
7.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0040938DF652d9a0D88002Cf731Af14D93e1B699
Tx: 0x00580046aec03723beaca3173b63142df655537bf7256f6d913770125c3946ce
7.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004cCF4c99325a0a8150C784b498f05Ee03FaDF6
Tx: 0x00030047b76103618b52c358932090a2b9d5a8595959af6e02a52053e899bcfb
7.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0032B424F1d360a101909f9f30288D5843D839cc
Tx: 0x00680048c742bbce9eca3a48c19a631c6076c4d0ff582b134be028fe9bbfb87c
50.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001cD04bd83aF223828140774023349d3e3e2E28
Tx: 0x0055002677251baf0261d219025eb5896f4a6aaf8fd24bacfa785910798158bd
1,061.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
Tx: 0x0035000a4f3cc1ee18f09198c87f5727d5161d6e65f9120dec47a86754802a29
4.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00461C323876FB10d59A276B9d7E098270ae2074
Tx: 0x001a005c5fb36bd93bcecc3794d1f4d4269d58b09613c2fcd90a8a9d4ae293df
9.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007909777582d775F56f7746063Dbd0c650b714f
Tx: 0x0056004720253d896557e0858d86eb6f377848d62b590c87f624771ecabbfc63
13.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Tx: 0x002a004e042c509d0206d5afe16f8826dce29ecbc22ba3a6f6c4e186906a97cb
4.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0032B2d27E3Edf27b848a4AcA2DeC62c638d3dEA
Tx: 0x001e0020911dd0c8c554b9b9a32d3c85066fe6fa9588db2c8590643e2364c3e6
14.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00374E3a581B55Cf90e532176E423AF2527bb3F9
Tx: 0x0007000fa8053ae2550512c2dbca78ef89d651ad2884ef2475510faee0550e54
7.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:51 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0024658bc5F16235099390057aDa54Cb42D65f1a
Tx: 0x0073000848f64b08cef0b645e668bda8f056bcf9086433a6e5daf69a5c306479
271.42 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0053005b20542d446cd6503911e8517032580d4d22fef175a910cc498e7ca823
271.42 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:00:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0069006bfd29bc128a6d40d7586f74ec86bcd1ad863afd726185b8cef6ea3192