Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 1:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 1:03:00 P.M. to 08/07/2026, 1:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 405.2
Unexplained QUAI: 641.19
Explained QI: 541.22
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
3
5.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
1,046.4 QUAI
541.22 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1046 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 1:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
541.23 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
541.23 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
405.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
405.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 541.22 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
52 tx
1,046.4 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:03:23 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:02:10 P.M.
-2 min
54 tx
1,493.36 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:00:58 P.M.
+2 min
15 tx
1,160.61 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:04:34 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
13,940 QUAI • 2 addresses
08/07/2026, 12:59:47 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
235.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:05:45 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 12:58:37 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
10.67 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/07/2026, 1:06:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
405.2 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 1:03:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
270.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 1:03:35 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005e00205dff142897665b7b5f791ba0d47aab8082280a1694820fdf9a9d0626
270.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 1:03:35 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0045002d3979f2a78a3757436dd26d9010d43cad09e1b2b468c76389e7972e8d
405.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 1:03:27 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x000c0077b6af3b66e76df279f00c5a7f2c36b3d3f1abd873da77986a285e40b2