Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 6:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 6:04:00 A.M. to 08/07/2026, 6:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
79% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,666.54
Unexplained QUAI: 435.16
Explained QI: 324.76
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
17
94.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
2,101.7 QUAI
324.76 QI
Avg confidence
63.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 2102 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 6:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (21% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
870.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8
Net receiver
Unknown type
870.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
796.03 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
347.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
324.77 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8
2 repeated flows • 870.32 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
478.83 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:03:48 A.M.
-1 min
56 tx
7,085.3 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:02:37 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
2,101.7 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:04:59 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate29 tx
50,149.68 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:06:10 A.M.
-3 min
53 tx
6,768.43 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:01:25 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2,279.81 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:07:24 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
2,178.47 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/07/2026, 6:00:13 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
3.52 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:59:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
435.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
435.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:42 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8
Tx: 0x00590017e97581a88cd0eb891d566b90c6f741aabf26b0c797bcc04dd25dd041
324.76 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00770071cf6129cb5e1904f06160ccb4df23c1d8cefb0871ee19348035084e84
0.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:26 A.M.
From: 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2
To: 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2
Tx: 0x0024001a5ff5fb7696ff0d17fb17982758fb741f7ea323205be5f96d312055b2
56.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Tx: 0x004c003518649b2a53b4967222f244fcc2683e97419666fbd308cee18f844a17
97.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0026003c4b827f645b89a1b6826790d9e860d5e679deb609ab77041c9e32d82c
139 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x004f0054d67cdf69e5a4c59f0e1925f11c68874560d61650e1e0ef7bbf6c78cd
14.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0043004f5b939f89676f17f123e02e4f3766664410eb7286b92b4cb1d8dd4ddd
10.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x005f00445750c19ec0c2b23e64fcab2ef6a3d09ed77a84c425e72adb11d05ad3
4.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x003e005d7e4936bdd3c8f7859eebc5677bf2e63121425debfe068cdb4bea14da
4.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x000f00261f4f1fa078407aba21f03b108846779b67c6536a33d09768df38362f
4.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x004f0050ab6c0c4168f5930417eb08ae48a41ba740c0f5728e36292a9f7a0e58
8.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0079006e4ce1576677c374abb988cfac984254ff8f6251726e56d316b228a7b0
99.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00320040e167bd8daa87571f4a484f20e8c95e8e84ccfc30b4942befed8d75a9
347.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x0036002bb1570b071bd635ba1579a67ab46b28b4749e68256d5911a9a12c380a
4.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x005c004c0ab35623135f89daf9ebdcf5ebd90596b5136ae514c78e715efc76cd
3.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00165B99043521763bb87537D7c7C24EC32247d2
Tx: 0x001e006679f557f0c1c7f918ee77660540e33a1f771b69454f66ced9113a1dfd
435.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 6:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x001B0abE78EC2f83c8DF6f024D656184E8E5c8A8
Tx: 0x006a004582ee07303da333741a9e7faabbe8a407764fcabb6cb8e971988b0d3e