Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 5:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 5:54:00 A.M. to 08/07/2026, 5:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,451.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 803.71
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
868.45 QUAI
803.71 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 868 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 5:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
20,016.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,012.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
10,004.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 10,004.2 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
868.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:54:18 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
4,944.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:53:07 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
40,888.23 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:55:29 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,348.14 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:51:56 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
391.64 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:50:46 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
872.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:56:41 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
783.29 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:49:34 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 5:57:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
477.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x007e0013983d3ec3e00c06e8617f2cf0a919489e187ec220a4842dc8fa6e2ac7
326.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:38 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003f00549da1d39030b5aefbaf57d4d228d15e5ad51740aa18cbfe7242ce6059
435.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:38 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0061003516e50a2566fe36c2af8aa580896c38699444a0ff929be4202afeac82
10,012.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:38 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Tx: 0x003000759630a8c2a09b023bb4e6526c252b574381447d4680c884268d77ebf0
19,999.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:20 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x005700350829b4c6cbc74f5d29ffd071e7eee5a2c6e664a7d7ffec198a1a1e12
10,004.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 5:54:17 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0018003f808fd21ef9499e09354c737c0b1038682c3e3ec970e99fe374410ff3