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Spike bucket

08/07/2026, 4:02:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/07/2026, 4:02:00 A.M. to 08/07/2026, 4:03:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

92% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 2,312.05

Unexplained QUAI: 203.54

Explained QI: 510.07

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume

Relative context

3.4x above local average

795x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

96.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

2,515.59 QUAI

510.07 QI

Avg confidence

63.1%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 2516 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386 • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/07/2026, 4:02:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.

Top actors in this event

StratumX miner

Net sender

Miner wallet

1,660 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,660 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

652.05 QUAI across 50 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

510.07 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

340.05 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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53 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 55. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.