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Spike bucket

08/07/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/07/2026, 2:35:00 A.M. to 08/07/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

71% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 13,716.38

Unexplained QUAI: 5,487.56

Explained QI: 703.72

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume

Relative context

1.2x above local average

1.3x previous minute

1.7x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

76.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

19,203.94 QUAI

703.72 QI

Avg confidence

65.7%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 19204 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 08/07/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752

Net sender

Unknown type

7,383.15 QUAI across 7 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F

Net sender

Unknown type

6,333.24 QUAI across 7 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,815.91 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,408.91 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,458.75 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 703.72 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

16 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 21. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.