Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 08/07/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,077.22
Unexplained QUAI: 15,209.41
Explained QI: 348.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
1.0x previous minute
5.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
7
28.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
17,286.63 QUAI
348.83 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 17287 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
806.12 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
796 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
475.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00107d68f532421e57d2e646cABdF433dfB0BE34
Net receiver
Unknown type
415.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Net receiver
Unknown type
414.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate25 tx
17,286.63 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:23:09 A.M.
-1 min
20 tx
17,140.69 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:21:56 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
3,366.97 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
6,550.24 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:20:44 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:19:33 A.M.
+3 min
16 tx
12,431.91 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:25:33 A.M.
+4 min
26 tx
12,679.66 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:26:44 A.M.
+5 min
24 tx
16,914.06 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/07/2026, 2:27:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
415.93 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:07 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00107d68f532421e57d2e646cABdF433dfB0BE34
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
380.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0014e0F14f71A86A99B351D5D1aAFeB88DC08993
Tx: 0x006500085ea25d9951362b0287e8b0939162ca8ce783c6efda827d281cd83cf1
391.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x0048004ea4b716de4f0c0273bfb4008756af229f00c65d1b6006421c158f08ae
203.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0060006cb827c135f9d3a2a013a6c7d10e706b74ccbe129c6c322e1bbecc3b9b
348.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00540047f97aa568ba741a61a113fa0bbca50c6e15220d39cd670852d6548cdf
271.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0039460BA8AC0161a54F8938e02B34A2e9EbdD9a
Tx: 0x00570025a112de768798fb58f52642166923f9514bdcda08835484a6aaff61bc
414.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Tx: 0x00120058dda25b43b76f3455a392dde10b4bdd2761fdabb648fd717c12e42871
415.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 2:23:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00107d68f532421e57d2e646cABdF433dfB0BE34
Tx: 0x003a006a3e9815bc7200581d5d4a2a36c7d9cb7caa8f66ec8a3e48389254de17