Spike bucket
08/06/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/06/2026, 11:04:00 P.M. to 08/06/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,698.03
Unexplained QUAI: 4,398.97
Explained QI: 634.82
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
60
Observable rows
10
16.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
75
Asset volume
6,097 QUAI
634.82 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 6097 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,698.03 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Net sender
Unknown type
904.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
634.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
634.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
135.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 634.82 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,698.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
52 tx
2,275.47 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:03:24 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate60 tx
6,097 QUAI • 75 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:04:35 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:02:13 P.M.
+2 min
33 tx
4,094.05 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:05:48 P.M.
-3 min
53 tx
2,945.72 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:01:02 P.M.
+3 min
19 tx
2,203.49 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:06:59 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/06/2026, 10:59:50 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/06/2026, 11:08:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
904.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
317.4 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0037000d092acb19a9d0debf876258c162c3dc73a62084a4dc4597377f53d20b
317.42 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001d0028e85f67978b312c08cc3adfa28a2530fec7728106268f4bc3046fc30e
111.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0067a8269d8166a69d07ca29892075f05662294bfe90c620c814549a513c
105.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057003cefb2c904528053886d1b2f5fd86c46c52c19383b06049d6d02ed431e
904.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038000477bad717234d2fb9f48bde979a16c6b9a4c34512266419d0e839173d
99.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x002EBF145D38B1C5BD8C35B191691F9f4C2aD3De
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003000288e78d29f69070fd7a6dd7b5d5d84266c1fba8508553e35fba8b66cb2
99.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021001030c4eb4381ef657a6b69099670c3a9bf0f6a4f3430e7cb4fa42f83ea
112.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002500579b050f148600d4f8c320fd25d7305f4190b9e0fce07feb1e94d2b66b
135.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00440066365b5350f24dee837817ab3d0cf756475c462f8ede1607fa73b0f3cb
130.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 11:04:17 P.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a006255a626e6966a77b7512ff63b6d9a0c9fbe5dac9b77eb7a550352145f
