Spike bucket
08/06/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/06/2026, 4:10:00 P.M. to 08/06/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 478.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 288.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
478.66 QUAI
288.87 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 479 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
475.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
288.87 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
288.87 QI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
256.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
118.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 475.57 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
2.59 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:09:54 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:08:44 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
478.66 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:11:05 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
11.91 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:07:33 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
13.12 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:12:16 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,382.79 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:13:27 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:06:22 P.M.
-5 min
27 tx
905.72 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:05:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
288.87 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 4:10:53 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
288.87 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 4:10:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0019006dd79bc3f253ad0acc5dd172fa23e5852805015581a64c3d6299323fbb
256.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 4:10:50 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00570045979fc30542a0784db9be2c54a5644a2b6e64639fff9e856e7997bf7d
118.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 4:10:50 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079007a231f39c678a9e34391adcd5594a22d2f34fc44b49a0c2528b4ef3f33
100.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 4:10:50 P.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b003455cfa28142bf3f2bbcce186c8b9c7f7caaf21761a6467e222f95edf5
3.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 4:10:07 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0065005b5130b19bef28eef2c7e79d5652dc7142af1fc49aace3cc9be61598fc
