Spike bucket
08/06/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/06/2026, 1:06:00 P.M. to 08/06/2026, 1:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
11% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6.39
Unexplained QUAI: 52.14
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
58.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 59 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
5.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
58.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:06:09 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
1,090.3 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:04:58 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,002.47 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:07:20 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,877.98 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:03:46 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
110.52 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:02:32 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
79.18 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:08:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:09:40 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
1,684.87 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:01:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5.39 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:06:08 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:06:20 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00060028926cdd06581937f491329acbc4e4632e52495aa590fd30dfb3fe6682
5.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:06:08 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x002d00129ecb82bc3aad36825c14022cd641b4f1e6f1edbd3f26862a0b1f4d44
