Spike bucket
08/06/2026, 1:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/06/2026, 1:01:00 P.M. to 08/06/2026, 1:02:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 110.52
Unexplained QUAI: 1,574.35
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
15x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
3
6.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
56
Asset volume
1,684.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1685 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 1:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
102.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
102.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
3.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 102.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,684.87 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:01:21 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:00:10 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
179 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/06/2026, 12:58:59 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
110.52 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:02:32 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/06/2026, 12:57:48 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,877.98 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:03:46 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/06/2026, 12:56:38 P.M.
+4 min
12 tx
1,090.3 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/06/2026, 1:04:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
102.31 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:59 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0071004e8a50de12908b58cdbddf2b802bf3702cb0adb3c612b42980172d1ae7
4.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:59 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a0005f88b9c89689e808c38681553e093861057c45c356e84152a267fc842
102.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:31 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0062b87f5d3379ace9f1dd5bcd824695060c4db904433b4fda5aeff2e95a