Spike bucket
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M. to 08/06/2026, 5:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
97% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 300.16
Unexplained QUAI: 9.78
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
309.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 310 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
217.05 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
127.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
83.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
83.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
309.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:04:29 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
3,400.33 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:03:17 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
233.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:02:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
5,508.32 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:05:42 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,137.39 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:00:56 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:06:53 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,293 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/06/2026, 4:59:45 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/06/2026, 5:08:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
127.22 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
83.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0031005c73e8d4095be936c00b5f85d7d7a222be8b104efc0ded32a9c7aecf88
20.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0056002ce79d6fa10e317fa8cb8619dd573777e6ce5b6535b746411813a824a6
6.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x007f00033ae5fca338a421a74d44f12f9270986a56b893b9b2a8ac748d03ac0f
14.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x00720048bbebea30cf66226e57d3a94aa50209d573fa1970cd4b277839339cac
18.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0024005fad554c4f2aba5787f086d6abdc2fb8402f073ef829482d72e043f393
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0072001e39cc343a7d2a9471bda5397a0e96d49ddaa8e1d4de18e16bbb88a3a9
127.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0074004363803cd86178bf83f41fe0195e4495952bf2dd940d6506b3da58ddf8
20.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x00470002420e848745d6cb96cd406a1c7576a24b153fcf1d200cc81f5e3c94e9
4.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x005c001b424cee30238c1382e6fc6ad3604ceb63cbe32cedee50ee6552a72dce
