Spike bucket
08/06/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/06/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 08/06/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,418.23
Unexplained QUAI: 6,772.97
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
9
64.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
12,191.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 12191 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,595.52 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,286.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,502.4 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Net receiver
Unknown type
977.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net receiver
Unknown type
467.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
12,191.2 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
4,538.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:18:56 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
6,606.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:21:21 A.M.
-2 min
24 tx
14,589.59 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
-3 min
21 tx
9,326.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:16:33 A.M.
+3 min
16 tx
5,548.16 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:22:32 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate49 tx
60,578.35 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:23:43 A.M.
-5 min
15 tx
8,194.78 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/06/2026, 2:15:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,286.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
55.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004C0D38C139F1AaaE50fC4dde6318FD10a9b562
Tx: 0x003f003f8462d8fea317c73bb2db71996501ddd6ff18066cd583489db0067901
94.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002F54b28da11582B8b8e1cda8bC9538Ad5100f9
Tx: 0x00650061c4cb317958b5f08b808d42118835db713c86b3a6f40a420466f3b18f
977.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Tx: 0x001d002d653c01da7da222113ae731333f8449a3a57cc86e0f02a6beaa2724c9
3,286.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002f0191A05cFE6F4B7428aC5F1F157e8A7f8508
Tx: 0x006d00157a6e2d740aa60da7faf08a86c87ed186187deaa5df7aa0923e56ca5c
88.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004B0A585dbcCa99Bf6293233aB579E2610B86DD
Tx: 0x005f0077a76f9d43f266e07f27c12f7c81124d402d624fd06e88c1136bc176a5
57.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002696dD862D6588EE7501Ea56A8406FC0eCa653
Tx: 0x007f0035a3af6b886656895fb7036518f6a5cd821b377899a8082989aa04c37f
176.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:06 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0047Fe6d90707678c7D25ca3b6e0e20592F8a17d
Tx: 0x001300131db1f9e5b8ff9a429b5f85975e2a58ecdb35fc44e792b7a392c29e0f
467.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x005d00556ba1b273056d604e3ac6c3c3fd787d90198228392e514de5265af8c3
215 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 2:20:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002e8FAa296766d87778910276B1EC6bFA3D4A78
Tx: 0x001b000e46e10993721af2363be59dbeb7aef9a069b1543297964ddb32b1e07b