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Spike bucket

08/06/2026, 1:01:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/06/2026, 1:01:00 A.M. to 08/06/2026, 1:02:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 222.59
Unexplained QUAI: 2,578.67
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
4.7x above local average
17x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
2
3.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
64
Asset volume
2,801.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2801 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 08/06/2026, 1:01:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
222.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net sender
Unknown type
117.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032B424F1d360a101909f9f30288D5843D839cc
Net sender
Unknown type
105.48 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 222.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

2 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 52. The remaining 50 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

117.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

2 transactions
117.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:13 A.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a001bf522a0a7e18b8f2d42a17822174a2c57f88ee0eba349b111313fa037
Open txWallet profile
105.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/06/2026, 1:01:13 A.M.
From: 0x0032B424F1d360a101909f9f30288D5843D839cc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064006acc1d664ada7406b34e696759dda113328d4ff65587610f9f01991358
Open txWallet profile