Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 10:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 10:20:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 10:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 201
Unexplained QUAI: 919.47
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
0.9x previous minute
5.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
1,120.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1120 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 10:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,120.47 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:20:27 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,216.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:19:16 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:18:06 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
210.94 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:21:39 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:16:55 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
60.37 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:22:50 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:15:44 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:24:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 10:20:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 10:20:35 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x005e0538F24a4424a1732F0fae71025C7355Ec12
Tx: 0x000f00700b82bb74d9530f299294eda59cbf3f51c52abfb0fad321af3989d17c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 10:20:17 P.M.
From: 0x0043fa6E5978bA4A6bd3Cf52e17868a602E5abFF
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x001b0063eab6b1ecefbe57971c3b0b21fcfa33d1649963d5c229e060a4231dee