Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 9:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 9:01:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 9:02:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 54.02
Unexplained QUAI: 22,294.42
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
1.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
2
3.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
22,348.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 22348 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 9:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
50.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
11,511.35 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:00:20 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate54 tx
22,348.44 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:01:31 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,693.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:59:09 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3.83 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:02:41 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:57:58 P.M.
+3 min
50 tx
724.34 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:03:52 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,100 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:56:48 P.M.
+4 min
13 tx
951.81 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50.18 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 9:01:22 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 9:01:34 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d001ec5bb441f1f69dbe3a15913d88eeeb7ac6816c33b32e5d3ace3fefe8e
50.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 9:01:22 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Tx: 0x00550026ad2fbb638a003b5d132d0c8e4e05e81dfd66bb9650601e7392b9dbdc