Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 8:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 8:31:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 380.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
4.5x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
380.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 381 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 8:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
Net sender
Unknown type
264.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
264.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00411fefb4ee3B27727bDfC90992E68516BD626C
Net sender
Unknown type
110.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
5.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 264.64 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
265 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:29:44 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
380.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:32:03 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:28:33 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
32.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:33:14 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:34:25 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:27:23 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:26:12 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/05/2026, 8:35:37 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
264.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 8:31:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
264.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 8:31:49 P.M.
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047007eb82d1da03c7c15d6794fa92a00906459edd85b9d962fc4df517a7462
5.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 8:31:49 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00260057ac1787561c43ba4f742e3e1166a679fd9f028f0020974d89856ce972
110.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 8:31:49 P.M.
From: 0x00411fefb4ee3B27727bDfC90992E68516BD626C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007e003d05b4ee7417c8cd38bc4b609afb904292adaab74c59af4ede13ebfe66