Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 5:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 5:04:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
54% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,271.67
Unexplained QUAI: 16,456.72
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
1.9x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
8
15.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
35,728.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 35728 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 5:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
18,986.35 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
18,876.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
272.49 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Kryptex miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
218.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
109.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 18,986.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate52 tx
35,728.39 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:04:08 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:02:57 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
19,271.67 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:05:19 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,433.26 QUAI • 52 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:01:44 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
18,963.22 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:00:33 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:06:30 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
88.93 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/05/2026, 5:07:40 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:59:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
18,876.94 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
19.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0076004aa41b5eba42e9207e82434f2de927ba1b4f3aaa54a8564ff4cf143999
218.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: Kryptex miner
0x004F3FD5892e88c96983DC9667f2ADd763a83B31
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0042006800f2287eb6f13465fa04a7e560d3643b68c492d68a45dfbc61b391ca
22.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x002a0056f4ac2b4cc072058fda8e8a8e98bfd41c548b43e66e46f60242bf2690
7.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x00230041bf66883b1768e6552f98c4ff84f6ebd8478f5e8e463b1bc88e471822
4.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x004200710a0779958b2fea1effa30d345d8db466161de24eb55b530b3b8d4610
12.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:20 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x004d0019bf9472680c208b4653b44ae4ae7975a977cd35a63e46d9bf3a72b496
109.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:20 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c0038335519f3cfff2ef26117d2d1338216610d5c1c22d38b57a82102395a
18,876.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 5:04:20 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075006411b0e9e8f104339e5e5163bba5b282c1c339ba943028b0b07523cbe5
