Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 3:26:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 758.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
758.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 758 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
758.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
Net sender
Unknown type
388.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
Net sender
Unknown type
369.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 758.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
8,132.09 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:25:56 P.M.
-1 min
23 tx
11,563.77 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:24:44 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
758.23 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:27:10 P.M.
-2 min
27 tx
31,091.95 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:23:32 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:28:21 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate24 tx
445,930.41 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:29:32 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:21:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
388.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:26:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
369.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:26:04 P.M.
From: 0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078003a4b461fafc65e2bfc84050e46b2c67f5c231a3bbd1905b2eddc0390b1
388.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:26:04 P.M.
From: 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b003394813064f9d61b9d7d4914858199fbb5ffe22866f4fa55a1633c4c7c