Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 303,394.58
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
303,220.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
194,721.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1
Net sender
Unknown type
108,499.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
174.12 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x003976f8c2428e7A79e3679D20920DAD5BFD5D68
Net sender
Unknown type
103.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 303,220.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:21:08 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:19:57 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate24 tx
445,930.41 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:22:19 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:18:46 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
280.42 QUAI • 2 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:17:35 P.M.
+3 min
27 tx
31,091.95 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:23:32 P.M.
+4 min
23 tx
11,563.77 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:24:44 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 3:16:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
194,721.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:16 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006900478e029fda621f3072d3c191f04b15dd0bcb4dc5fab1bcfd5a892bf54f
8.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:16 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b0047729d12136f94c93e027816975cf8bab377a658f89b6d316c6caff501
103.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:16 P.M.
From: 0x003976f8c2428e7A79e3679D20920DAD5BFD5D68
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d007c4bde65f9a9e0e4b45b269a1a6d66567ac2606fbfea9298e1abe2b228
108,499.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:16 P.M.
From: 0x0013a4564A09E3cB07836deaA34896DE59e563B1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025007c902ee053d2f03b9992e3db53b0de225d0dcbdc2867546bb58429e8c0
9.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:16 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0077000c061d21e34e87f11a48cd776c058c968ccae6758a594b09c07574ae4c
48.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:16 P.M.
From: 0x003F8EDB98b6353A2f9494302fD65BA08579005c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c000075a015d84dc96c3ae8bbd1cd341595732d367660e31d6f90bc66e4c1
194,721.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 3:21:09 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0000a6d20137958bd5690c20f76295e86a6c2120d9e64f2bce9286240239
