Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 1:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 1:11:00 P.M. to 08/05/2026, 1:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 501.84
Unexplained QUAI: 22,012.43
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
6395x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
22,514.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 22514 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 1:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
501.84 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
Net sender
Unknown type
492.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0017E3674689776e735A3f8eb3425ea0094c9F12
Net sender
Unknown type
4.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:10:48 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
3.52 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:09:38 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
22,514.26 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:11:59 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:13:11 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0.18 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:08:27 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
55.68 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:14:22 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:07:15 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/05/2026, 1:06:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
492.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 1:11:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 1:11:21 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d00137fbbeb2dc9e3e649918fd932e8edaf3f36dcdd3f530a57dbf830a8a1
492.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 1:11:21 P.M.
From: 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0007001973df36cad33427f487981ac31f9889aa50a9efb3d134b9cf4c4ab854
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 1:11:21 P.M.
From: 0x0017E3674689776e735A3f8eb3425ea0094c9F12
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e00189d9fc98fb2608d609fdef0fb000c375febbdcd3ed3961a559f3f200d
