Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 11:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 11:04:00 A.M. to 08/05/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 502.06
Unexplained QUAI: 779.73
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
9
18.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
1,281.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1282 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 11:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
295.8 QUAI across 7 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
206.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
171.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00125bDD91782e532a88d872E0262F74A8e9c167
Net sender
Unknown type
103.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
102.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 206.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,281.79 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:04:01 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate8 tx
3,301.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:02:46 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
502.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:05:13 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,698.17 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:01:34 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5.29 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:06:24 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:00:21 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 11:07:34 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
2,002.6 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 10:59:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
171.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
102.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:51 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0051b9a913516545722293b3cc72d2aed84cb1c2ddce2855032dd0587019
103.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:51 A.M.
From: 0x00125bDD91782e532a88d872E0262F74A8e9c167
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020001dca101c7ff0e36d68ea5ceeac00d627c53722a9812af2bbb303bb74a6
38.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x001f00360bc44c48e6c592ece2b2cd17b8cb4e5def429af64c7ec3780601627f
8.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Tx: 0x0012005fd1142b0d0534e4298a9a42829fa887d9399a15c5ebf0f0d6f0f4c914
22.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0034005e384362da83b441c7df8c229eac7a543957a88060e539084cb8904d58
18.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x00280021c82578ccbee1377b1fd037a6659c9f02d57cac1658a4463c1f89dce8
171.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0057004b7af468f2d84dcd8f4dda18e5a1a5e2a83a706fdbbe12e35ff7c1935c
7.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x0000006db142d6708e2fabb21841c0790628bbab5f8573aceb3bee138ba9ecab
30.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 11:04:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x006200779cc3997dc742c844b5d1ae9a4c0b93a61b881987e185c890b988a470