Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 9:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 9:08:00 A.M. to 08/05/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13.96
Unexplained QUAI: 876.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
890.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x001AAB0c1B33908747E1b78cB873885295b5b285.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 891 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x001AAB0c1B33908747E1b78cB873885295b5b285.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 9:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001AAB0c1B33908747E1b78cB873885295b5b285
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:07:34 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
890.54 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:08:44 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:06:24 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:09:56 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate20 tx
2,014.38 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:05:12 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
22.82 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:11:07 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,979.86 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:04:02 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/05/2026, 9:12:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 9:08:38 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x001AAB0c1B33908747E1b78cB873885295b5b285
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 9:08:47 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x003e007cfa8b2e66594fc53c1f57b9af054010967546b52c9aa22fcbd4aab618
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 9:08:38 A.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x001AAB0c1B33908747E1b78cB873885295b5b285
Tx: 0x00210071930f551f086bc698ccbd91b2263fd99a4f34e19263b561353d033e1a