Spike bucket
08/05/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/05/2026, 4:11:00 A.M. to 08/05/2026, 4:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 225.76
Unexplained QUAI: 544.51
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
6.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
770.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 770 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
225.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
Net sender
Unknown type
218.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
7.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:10:27 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
770.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:11:38 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
3.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:09:16 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
225.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:12:49 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:08:05 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:13:59 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
20.64 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:06:55 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/05/2026, 4:15:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
218.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 4:11:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
218.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 4:11:55 A.M.
From: 0x001d03A76EEa82f414B913E2c465fca487257FD7
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005e0027c4a18ab3f35ce7dab0f14e347e1b170d8803b4c58ecd21ab7b08eebb
7.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 4:11:55 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003600153468e13213b77f8d325c2a1832b789208dae1e81dc47b53902cf5a3c
