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Spike bucket

08/05/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/05/2026, 2:46:00 A.M. to 08/05/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
95% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,441.18
Unexplained QUAI: 757.27
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
2.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
15,198.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 15198 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 08/05/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
10,618.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,618.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,269.84 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,553.28 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,149.33 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

10,618.05 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
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All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
67.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005334Df3D36300AadA1DeFfa3D3F61828768DEc
Tx: 0x000d006d2cfdbcd4d1a1cea41b2f05589bcd3e9f7764142690867f1bee190b1a
525.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x005b0059b389594a9a69b2476e1aee2579b96fe08f7738e2e9a9032fb4e903b3
1,149.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Tx: 0x004c000538dcae9460e716139ae60ef753dda49c544d608685bce26049f509d8
944.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x0074001a6ea636b955ebd3f918f3fee2f9ea8548a2095ff1a26ba9705ba88657
130.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
Tx: 0x0052001c9bede0e61f6d542578b990c24a26cf3a532da8425006fe75c9018ce8
208.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ed8e6bF41602FaB522b2d81eFE5C07Ef85a94
Tx: 0x00100010076a643b692df1e6c9e9b6a0309ed0fbdd5b17fc463a5815871e9e11
386.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005e7706c58686D000bD557c1D7677C3ac57B020
Tx: 0x00220003c8955bbebbc0ecbdc01e20e66d30873d270d1c8eed58943664f44342
410.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005133B679a0bc167aC3d8d66B606e486E408008
Tx: 0x007d0045812239bc5b3c242dfe7171115680783f773573ab713824aeb37c34ec
10,618.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/05/2026, 2:46:08 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Tx: 0x006b004cf692ba6ca3a3bf6476ab888d2c17bbfe7435acafbe96d9fba2d780a2
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