Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 10:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 10:07:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 10:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,100.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
20,100.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20101 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 10:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,098.98 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
Net sender
Unknown type
100.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003F75fD7c70c7685Ea8E7Cfa2EA0d73BD6170b3
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006AE7d5852e8D8F33C8b51A74B52AdE1790A46f
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,098.98 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate12 tx
21,251.61 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:06:44 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:05:33 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
20,100.98 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:07:55 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:09:06 P.M.
-3 min
23 tx
886.01 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:04:22 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
3 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:10:17 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
2,368.74 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:03:10 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 10:11:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.67 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 10:07:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,998.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 10:07:50 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002400304848d3321cac6d9b4a1124454fa68dded4af2bb3a4ca50de372515b1
100.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 10:07:50 P.M.
From: 0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045006d4ed9cef2bb1b30d342c623515854178b6797cdeec1bdb82c384418a6
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 10:07:50 P.M.
From: 0x003F75fD7c70c7685Ea8E7Cfa2EA0d73BD6170b3
To: 0x006AE7d5852e8D8F33C8b51A74B52AdE1790A46f
Tx: 0x0069007e413c2a0b620953b76567c9f1e6c4cbbdb0c03c75d1dbbe8ce41e4de2