Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 422.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
422.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 422 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
422.25 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
184.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cd62B9728fbefde39dc064cb8a11f113cC5f1
Net receiver
Unknown type
99.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
11.55 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:04:59 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,415.12 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:03:48 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
422.25 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:06:10 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate53 tx
64,208.51 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:02:37 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:07:22 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:01:26 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3.88 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:08:33 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 5:00:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
184.51 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
11.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x00130043354267933ffdb83ca1c790d69ff866b64a0b4434c17dc7cf1ad35c16
17.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0060000b307f4a708ce2cc4122a234ee456fca2d6eb532f72a1148390d405ff4
5.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001b629a8992fc22B5122cE8F5B5B5753B62FDE4
Tx: 0x00390022034389272204d2c2a3cc2a9ccb646d18d63e5a0c808f6f90b3fed8c2
99.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003cd62B9728fbefde39dc064cb8a11f113cC5f1
Tx: 0x004f0034a344a91752350a63f8496c8b2e5d1694ee051322dc2cbfc7df46a5b0
25.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x00640031813a3f3cbd2bfb6658d901aae54dbadafeea70d74ae6e068e44e3777
184.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00240052df260eb77d6e3c3fa6630c02b2926a0fc443a529f5dc35d13e247a45
33.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x00330020bad743cf257d08344dc148f570754e69ab16c4f69c561956ecd04d87
8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x001d003e1507bfc70caad3b9803f6dc195872115ac8c50535aa6a7d8f290694e
8.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0048004c993a35106134f07ba188c48b1a69038b223ba755ae4d5500e0e60041
21.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x002800735007475e25c0e61caed20b9809633174465c5b8de5167919c2f3b9ed
5.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x000d002f020f97403b63b834c4661468590bd22200014c23f931f21f642530aa