Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 4:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 4:52:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,373.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 4:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
12,373.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
Net sender
Unknown type
6,577.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003Ed7C87B73b00f5Ef305023337AffdAE2c9Ee1
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,796 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,577.65 QUAI
From exchange: 5,796 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:50:51 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
12,373.65 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:53:10 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
14,779.73 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:49:40 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
205.99 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:54:21 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
10,850.64 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:48:29 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:55:32 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:47:19 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
60,000 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 4:56:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,577.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 4:52:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6,577.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 4:52:39 P.M.
From: 0x0044901c9180267bcAB587f981Cc4A70b184f5Da
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0036418831b0436639bf20d149dde0ab5dcce01cfed0e15bdb717a139e8f
5,796 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 4:52:06 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003Ed7C87B73b00f5Ef305023337AffdAE2c9Ee1
Tx: 0x003200782f98ccd5f47adea95e0542dc61d577cb59d51b4123a9628e8ac625a9