Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 34,175.05
Unexplained QUAI: 355,665.85
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
7.0x above local average
11x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
9
56.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
389,840.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 389841 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 38
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
34,175.05 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
Net sender
Unknown type
5,209.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
Net sender
Unknown type
5,189.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c608A006AB3Bb3462a7Ea10b2bF740108796e
Net sender
Unknown type
5,149.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317b655B2F755eF6Ae41F8A290B2d1A59ADb07
Net sender
Unknown type
4,343.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 34,175.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate16 tx
389,840.9 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:22:12 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:21:01 P.M.
+1 min
22 tx
34,056.96 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:23:25 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:19:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:18:38 P.M.
+3 min
34 tx
14,815.04 QUAI • 44 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:24:37 P.M.
+4 min
18 tx
7,036.35 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:25:50 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 3:17:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,209.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
2,543.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:22 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0043fa720C12bEAF9c6EC7Bb3Ef0FBCddC0424B0
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130037dfeca41bed6e6f3876783eb7e3abf7ec116f495c6a39b3b0b137ae2f
2,115.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:22 P.M.
From: 0x005A52BA6D0dEc9631A7Ac0Dc5bc77dd98261275
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048004486e45ba0a3de3080c3d662a30cc24041e00c682f616e8413bef9a1f1
2,722.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:12 P.M.
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00740014fea48d3bf049432d786fc8a96273849a329f49cd27be75315a751873
3,098.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:09 P.M.
From: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250045b169f05a7e1793e712317808f36950913330f2470363e29d1776d7ec
5,189.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0017a6dd42266eb626c5a9e2a7087db1029312e1428ae3a3ac6139fc02fe
5,149.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x004c608A006AB3Bb3462a7Ea10b2bF740108796e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033002a6443c2022dc858f55c2d6772ce8b872967ee42d831c1f72c4a0f1f52
5,209.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a007be3d4a265b8c84a23521326df958e8229d22a046f6a74ae7627a22526
4,343.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x00317b655B2F755eF6Ae41F8A290B2d1A59ADb07
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f004fa8c2b747e8ed544339b8bbe8c42c96a4b4d2e6732d1775fdb71d28d5
3,802.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 3:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x001d342c0cB8B93C5D40065B27D35AAdbED4cfe0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f002f2187f7399bd1b538cd2b9133496b44cae742198614a5a0c0bb842c46