Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 2:06:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 2:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 26.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
20.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
11.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
9.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019236959E6780101F156c4895FCD458EF9C03B
Net sender
Unknown type
5.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
17 tx
803.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:05:18 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:06:32 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate44 tx
2,377.51 QUAI • 54 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:04:04 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:07:42 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,010.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:02:52 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:08:53 P.M.
-4 min
49 tx
1,494 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:01:41 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:10:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
11.38 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:06:20 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:06:43 P.M.
From: 0x0019236959E6780101F156c4895FCD458EF9C03B
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00340071e6d3efb76bcf8132b4ec9f86944999165f19ef41370f5a49a75349b1
9.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:06:20 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0070006d52f89d9de289d2d70fe6879f426cdba0c427616849ebdb3192ef1cd7
11.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:06:20 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003200417fee6527ec2e0e4daf2d7f213c3fc3b3b15f0a7794ede74a463ed342
