Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 2:04:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 239.86
Unexplained QUAI: 2,137.65
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
2.4x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
44
Observable rows
10
22.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
54
Asset volume
2,377.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 2378 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
239.86 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Net receiver
Unknown type
101.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00581d5A0E2Ca3def6772D488e45e87614C906A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate44 tx
2,377.51 QUAI • 54 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:04:04 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,010.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:02:52 P.M.
+1 min
17 tx
803.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:05:18 P.M.
-2 min
49 tx
1,494 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:01:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
20.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:06:32 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:00:27 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
5.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:07:42 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:59:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
101.58 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
22.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x000a00157bce8c2566a411691d3b1ddba9665c6c285f6d8da2892e8ff6f3947f
6.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004528a0A6e03b254D20593d159860aafb779C29
Tx: 0x006e005483ecde7c107daf98b9543f9530b17354c07f756a481ccb9e3fe86849
4.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Tx: 0x002c004e9f92fc0249b6da0e0b344f6987265e7b3932d651d6563df6adb1ef3a
4.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Tx: 0x00210079caa195458f820550889be0d81c33d56009e938eb1625ec10e73c31be
8.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x006d00671de37911fbaacbf4470ad5604a03b0c4a094c2670ba1028526d8ac03
8.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
Tx: 0x000a0030a183b08ec6086bb7e6cece4fed28223cc9d1e4a2cfd0081fef9b0f3a
6.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069291293b35eAFfF549222aD72AEF853B11677
Tx: 0x000500028394d1dd6f0fb56a1be110a0edf6d31818f253c569d448549df1631c
58.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00581d5A0E2Ca3def6772D488e45e87614C906A9
Tx: 0x004e0002984dd836a494762de7fb24c14567761179c44ff17ccfde9e37cb9778
17.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x004400066d51b9b37a664f3a89f1e2846f5fb103a66ecbe6dde3ee46609b6070
101.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:04:12 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
Tx: 0x002a0060ee13035e9c9ca3e7e30ecb4a7cfe0fe5487e62294d6d58e6ecec55dd