Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 1:23:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 1:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 57.49
Unexplained QUAI: 39.15
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
5
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
96.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 97 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.49 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
29.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
10.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
8.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
4.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,476 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:22:35 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
96.65 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:23:47 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
103,158.8 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:21:24 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:24:58 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:20:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:26:08 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,741.8 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:19:03 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
130,441.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/04/2026, 1:27:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
29.86 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 1:23:44 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
4.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 1:23:44 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006200303b531b9540f0600823e7725fc414892e23a25ce35157fb1e120dd1df
10.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 1:23:44 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00600066a6f20b1b47bcf150a90985f2755eb136c7638726635e0a98c122227e
8.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 1:23:44 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00170002fd6f415f462ca7c92ebcd4ffb0dacd52e003424bbd45cf76bbfd59e5
29.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 1:23:44 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0056002fcea767f2bb661cba47e78bc8d65ff17b7e4438a6e55a320f732d9666
4.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 1:23:44 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005e0069b2c127d6867d7a784f4bd51ba255f7983d8d832a0773735b381ae535