Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 12:23:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,907.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1454x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
21,811.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21812 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
609.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.81 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
21,811.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:23:24 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
15 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:22:14 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:21:03 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
20,095.75 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:24:36 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:19:53 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:25:47 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:18:41 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:26:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
52.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Tx: 0x00740044d3dd51b002fa5948fc94425dde7d3a69f6b5f9d60bf3c93744104935
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x006d000a7326baf9df98be06a901064ba49ee91d8e08856bec11ebefa8eae82d
10.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00590053c924d38d6d372140fe029c4f6db702a24a44c7aad8ee18463570f33b
33.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0007007c28d4dbcd4335e3502ac3d5ae13021059c7300dd5dbc704d36ac9a489
19,998.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710073c65d0b99e0ca9eaa91a2ef55c82cf7d89f16d2288fcb9d3ea8162b83
6.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007000063006161bb9b11bffefa534519e70c8350a392dda4a7c5c7a439dd7bb
556.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Tx: 0x006c001ecbdd14e641ea5813fa376a006b77ff88882f76187bc1b36b862c18c4
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:23:03 P.M.
From: 0x0061a2f62B4E4F488443a75F572d4a2D6F61afa6
To: 0x006dc70431416e4395E2C098D50108b093672B93
Tx: 0x001b000054a978af36fb0ed5fc83a387f7f18940fe753bdf6b0d6c7ad82f046f