Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 12:21:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15
Unexplained QUAI: 19,984.16
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1333x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
19,999.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x004A31B1E8096b922A789E1017B41C6581b4f4CD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688 • 0x004A31B1E8096b922A789E1017B41C6581b4f4CD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004A31B1E8096b922A789E1017B41C6581b4f4CD
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034D21a4e09f32ff3303a5063c1ddC0beEB9fFb
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:21:03 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:19:53 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
15 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:22:14 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:18:41 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,811.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:23:24 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:17:30 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
20,095.75 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:24:36 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:16:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:21:57 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x004A31B1E8096b922A789E1017B41C6581b4f4CD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:21:57 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0034D21a4e09f32ff3303a5063c1ddC0beEB9fFb
Tx: 0x006900049e5acd6fa840ef1af039d5b267b4fcccde2955b08b5a02917fb9bc0a
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:21:57 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x004A31B1E8096b922A789E1017B41C6581b4f4CD
Tx: 0x001c004376ed55a12bb1ffda3882dbfc81e761d74acd4d5ac3ddf6f7fe6cbfc3