Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 12:04:00 P.M. to 08/04/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 0.19
Unexplained QUAI: 6.67
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
6.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2 • 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 7 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2 • 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2
Net sender
Unknown type
0.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
6.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
-1 min
47 tx
2,759.83 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:03:15 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:02:03 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
20,819.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:05:40 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,640.64 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:00:52 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
82.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:06:51 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 11:59:40 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:08:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
0.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:04:36 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2
To: 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
0.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:04:36 P.M.
From: 0x003AE0669b8e8Feda923baB03a6f3489c16483d2
To: 0x0015ed80517e9961235ec22dAFb00020C2e970b2
Tx: 0x006b0077df220dabbaa3e1cb7b0e8de5fddbf4013173daa64ef5d0e2387a8f81