Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 8:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 8:39:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 8:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 554.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
500 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B • 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 500 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B • 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be.
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B -> 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 8:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
54.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B → 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
2 repeated flows • 500 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,998.77 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:38:40 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:37:30 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
500 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:39:51 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
54.05 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:41:02 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.12 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:36:20 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
206.19 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:42:12 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,749 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:35:08 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
600.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/04/2026, 8:43:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
250 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
54.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:58 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0006001682c332315812485012c68435de5954bd514da2e0165167c382ced1d4
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Tx: 0x00390047b4ca2bda8bcf22ff372a097d3de6175d7034f1f4cf8d9754056c6c2b
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:13 A.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Tx: 0x001800394d44db74c522bec81e8c28ee9580b043e8db74606c453a4ebdbca154
