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Spike bucket

08/04/2026, 8:39:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/04/2026, 8:39:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 8:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 554.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
500 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B • 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 500 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B • 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be.
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B -> 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 8:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
54.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.05 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
2 repeated flows500 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

250 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
54.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:58 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0006001682c332315812485012c68435de5954bd514da2e0165167c382ced1d4
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:18 A.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Tx: 0x00390047b4ca2bda8bcf22ff372a097d3de6175d7034f1f4cf8d9754056c6c2b
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 8:39:13 A.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x003b63493D60A02591776D3BC3465E84fc8aB7be
Tx: 0x001800394d44db74c522bec81e8c28ee9580b043e8db74606c453a4ebdbca154