Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,568.18
Unexplained QUAI: 7,452.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.8x previous minute
18x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
7
30.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
37
Asset volume
10,021 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 10021 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,171.64 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,051.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
839.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Net receiver
Unknown type
568.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
10,021 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:53:20 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
5,540.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:52:08 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
360.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:50:58 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
551.5 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:54:31 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
6,430.25 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:49:48 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate19 tx
34,730.01 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:55:42 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
24,032.07 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:48:36 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
8,955.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,051.8 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
37.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053E9fdF56E58dce123AAC0145DD24DDB6Ea507
Tx: 0x002d0004a16954edfd1e602cc3d3c33d0320fc579c1f2661df816738b4b1a1d1
104.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x0016006dbd4d63b77d54088f551faeff5b9d3b62be5d2851608fbd8cba4a0392
82.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005334Df3D36300AadA1DeFfa3D3F61828768DEc
Tx: 0x000000309fa2d2e3aaf714909674c982060a59e933208786f419956ebf2674f0
568.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Tx: 0x0002006cf2b7ed00190ccff17185f1116f36896dd2997726d78a49b37562f961
1,051.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x001500421425bbc36c9414f546e75314e7699652703215814e84b06e24409d2c
166.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x005700259764eafcbd8c98b2744b9da10239aacd8ffce90e0b7d86de5eb41dea
556.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Tx: 0x00680000a0b22ef361896654b72214ad5b5874b1fa3f46b21e16a20a0dfd119c
