Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
49% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 925.85
Unexplained QUAI: 981.81
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,907.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1908 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
882.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
Net receiver
Unknown type
882.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
43.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003daff93096B3Da37414B466BA2a65a3a65ED06
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
23,092.69 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,907.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:43:51 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,111.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:41:29 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2,318.7 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:45:01 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
10,058.42 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:40:18 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
7,087.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:46:14 A.M.
-4 min
24 tx
24,220.84 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:39:06 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate17 tx
33,552.68 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:47:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
882.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
43.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003daff93096B3Da37414B466BA2a65a3a65ED06
Tx: 0x0007003227cd2edbdae1e4cc2aa2e1af043ab5ff3219ce15c87d1cff2d682828
882.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0043f6a0860c43D4fC91706A411d81a5fed7412c
Tx: 0x00150049af940334b7b6bb5308a34f22292e44c9ebf6f418e12a952100ecc762