Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
60% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,900.06
Unexplained QUAI: 1,957.46
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
12
46.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
40
Asset volume
4,857.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 4858 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (40% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (60%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,288.53 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
839.28 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
772.26 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00212cc46b86CAA1A8FB441EE37de7370EeBBC0A
Net receiver
Unknown type
731.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Net receiver
Unknown type
382.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
19 tx
26,078.63 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:22:23 A.M.
+1 min
26 tx
4,857.52 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:23:35 A.M.
-2 min
23 tx
6,496.13 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:21:11 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,684.27 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:24:48 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
32,030.14 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:19:59 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate11 tx
38,873.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:25:59 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
11,139.55 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:18:48 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
8,381.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:27:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
731.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00212cc46b86CAA1A8FB441EE37de7370EeBBC0A
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
261.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001DB0b6A0D124E04C8a4E7a4074E82A0B285d5d
Tx: 0x0013007246daa8ea23c5b4ca439ce9c037ca3cd06dfccd577ea8c88e911cec33
52.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003fE964a8F8937C230A0B674B7d52270B85138b
Tx: 0x004c0073edf4b071e7dd820583372bf11a3444fe79a7315bb9e437fbbcc6a2d6
170.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0021B171e383D2fE95dF2642Fc4B3d707b9540e1
Tx: 0x0030003d3888369a9e4a3e5464307db882d8967e654aefb6d661d2ba405b6047
115.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001d07ea41085F9eD9cd93c417BA372AbF1164DB
Tx: 0x0033007a79a02d6ccf0b12bb8ce043c4e0d6f17b48228e2aa6cb9f7af537b3f0
731.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00212cc46b86CAA1A8FB441EE37de7370EeBBC0A
Tx: 0x002700543eca4dd50c83fdda9f9fa6de0345750907d1e4dda2faab3c2417d672
102.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
Tx: 0x005e0038ee4b145fbc7e1a91711c9898d4d67938c11548604a7846dabc9625d9
116.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002039698813B45D9EF052686407d4AcdB346a38
Tx: 0x007c003382f1c4d3ceaf4080ec7c66910080f1288ecd6f21900ee548436052a9
382.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x006f0018f572f97ca91609d0dced863c0b326e9e901648ec0da31ba596b0ceea
257.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x003d007ebef88e5c8178bc29db214d2f4c125fe3aab3efbc0f8024529bf9da17
234.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003bA9cC15706b5b85A1490B44bCCdd94b6e1CF7
Tx: 0x0042007cf0ca02df946626be1da51e7aa4c98879bc0f10f4a159cdcfc5577f4a
270.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x00700005b0a93f1fe67985eec625df2ea0c3bc2b005c1e2b79385566b57ba983
204.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:23:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001bF75Ff70E9e14c0d8e59f260986DD82b56166
Tx: 0x006300147731a14b9bfa0737248c960593d9a841f27238a36bd81a8b185fa9a3
