Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
92% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,424.78
Unexplained QUAI: 2,605.36
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
8.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
11
78.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
32,030.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 32030 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
27,822.84 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
4,832.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net sender
Unknown type
1,252.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,129.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 27,822.84 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
11,139.55 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:18:48 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
3,852 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:17:37 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate14 tx
32,030.14 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:19:59 A.M.
+2 min
23 tx
6,496.13 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:21:11 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
9,468.69 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
+3 min
19 tx
26,078.63 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:22:23 A.M.
-4 min
17 tx
28,831.54 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
-5 min
14 tx
5,705.44 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/04/2026, 2:14:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
233.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55
Tx: 0x0042000e991aebe83436485a4560e5b31522ecf53f7374821f19a64d1c1f4d49
588.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x00570008b12cf9c1451e04124ff30e7887c8f74e07e0f1c92e4cc18602331701
405.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x005b0073a97c109924f132f1b5c554c1886e2dab9504698b9b7f9e3d4a9cd403
19,998.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005700050af6badb5fca4e9b100133f396483ba0bac25ba0a18a463aa6a1074c
4,832.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0005295193e50b568595266A48Bbbb842313a99f
Miner wallet
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0071aa6ec1a1d7883a8f3869025606a9e1638d1011f8030fac1be61d4465
1,129.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x00187D46385A4cfd2dFb129faCc878cF10Ee0ABd
Miner wallet
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550035666ea4cc5a96fb2e1f9bf508e7b13bd5ea800fd2dea196d0deb5c98a
1,252.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a004b67550296d5451e11095d4c6710776492267b6014aacb9ada0a37a5bf
609.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:37 A.M.
From: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a0035e14f5bf71a13697377618b7b6f27748ac568094e8b8228002e404bf9
275.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000F79dd294ee84748fb65F770369D067a8c5370
Tx: 0x001500400ebadb3ad85307ff77d8c274bf0067ffbd5a0945228729e5599c5779
40.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002736E210a59eF5Cd41c8dF464604364902e90D
Tx: 0x002200057a91fcc73ed9f1df35b6a0bac850b2c1c1b7128c96d6ad320a13ff40
58.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0012aCB04cf313559cE86E8378458619c8f7Bc49
Tx: 0x0050000410c0d8d577b697784186d86c7640a8e97c9941c9737bef25d5cb560d
