Spike bucket
08/04/2026, 12:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/04/2026, 12:41:00 A.M. to 08/04/2026, 12:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,192.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
19,998.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/04/2026, 12:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
26,193.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Net receiver
Unknown type
26,193.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 26,193.28 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,998.69 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:41:04 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:39:54 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
46,192.32 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:42:15 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
209.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:38:43 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
603.8 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:43:26 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
64.58 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:37:32 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:44:37 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/04/2026, 12:36:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
26,193.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:41:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
26,193.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:41:21 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
Tx: 0x0037003e56710190c06d4f7d5281feeb50dc37c5dbb800c85a94158caee57bf4
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/04/2026, 12:41:21 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x007f00710a627ea29b572e8ea39faeda158c6c110abbef27f367bf9210e1baa4