Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 11:10:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 633.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.7x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
3.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
630.88 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
304.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
118.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Net sender
Unknown type
104.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 630.88 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
3.74 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:10:18 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:09:08 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
633.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:11:29 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:07:57 P.M.
-3 min
10 tx
630.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:06:46 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
8,222.99 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:12:40 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
20.51 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:05:35 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
2,914.15 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:13:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
304.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 11:10:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
304.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 11:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670020cccd8276beab01a2b92ab9976835b0145a2c9392341dba075c6b69b7
103.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 11:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053002a0222a2a97e40c7e1c22d747d62b082ff349d574682a3478896ad232a
104.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 11:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0018bf2db73b9cb5d87cf06fa81b964368b4c0be7a923faefbfcdd405e08
118.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 11:10:34 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00740005a30d73b16c4465cc238c379edebf9716b0d218f2e2a8246aa4cd371a
3.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 11:10:20 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x000c001935773c23005ebc6b5ff195db86c9fd4aaf85267751fcf193a1ecffbf