Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 9:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 9:05:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 554.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
554.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 554 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 9:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
539.52 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
116.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
113.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
Net sender
Unknown type
105.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
105.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 539.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
1,632.06 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:04:57 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
565.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:03:46 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
554.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:06:11 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
2,314.87 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:02:35 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:07:22 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,765.83 QUAI • 57 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:01:24 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:08:33 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 9:00:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
116.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
14.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Tx: 0x0027004757f6bbe92d7aedee1fda0e9060a8dffec91afb77a97da2858ab81014
99.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
From: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b004af76cf5961bec843a9aea8b62a34ec15d21a52e8a5243145cb205851d
105.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029002aa57b86e243c7e717ed21efe3800593ebe8b17118ff5c709bdc637c86
105.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006600656b0daffa55cfb4d88b3cbf7e26381c96aff3668ca86f5cc423c78550
113.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d001050cb8eb259df40242e0879c46da45d98726f7295ac74ed75bbedfed6
116.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 9:05:03 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00750040f2490861d253985ceaeffbd8541ea35c1551b27a9d96862b412c91c4