Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 7:03:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 7:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
88% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 533.38
Unexplained QUAI: 75.18
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
608.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 609 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
482.6 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
278.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net receiver
Unknown type
108.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
27.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
608.56 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 7:03:24 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
2,686.25 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/03/2026, 7:02:13 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate51 tx
21,945.05 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/03/2026, 7:01:01 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
512.38 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/03/2026, 7:04:35 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 6:59:50 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,120.79 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 7:05:45 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,998.87 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 6:58:40 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/03/2026, 7:06:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
278.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
14.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Tx: 0x00740040e4c2388af010bfb6f6ef61bb07d3124b1479bb1c1799c7a83330e4f6
19.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Tx: 0x004700292f2b0026f991676c59682d70d0d999702d280722d02b1c736657bc15
5.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0009872c2ba931482d4EE8041365832E020807C2
Tx: 0x004c00543c74dcee8f14e4fa71132b8214c96afbbcfd429f9e5482948fac82a3
33.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x002e0075628c6d2d592e15e9cc9831015e852d53a96e6d1f8f3058df644d393e
278.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000d001c699d51836a2dcfa18559bf95d4233217a8cbe04cccb7089df9f661b8
27.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x006a004a9366b0a376d74baf4c36bc9c3024915d2b354c60853b6e81113fc6f9
108.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Tx: 0x00200047e1fb10a6433e076533324f2514352cc516e763386947c5789891212a
9.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x000f00606836393b7b60a1c68d5101bf3b71622e2b20d32bcaccbb5d02263019
15.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:24 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00720062b446dee3f410cec695998f33aeb1331112543a4d6e82534a9bf8a389
21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 7:03:02 P.M.
From: 0x0045948bDA3c3CFBBfE0233177c9b6350454c9Ae
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x004d005695e4e2db89697415ef137451cbd54a49cf48405fc96ce9669fec2c40
