Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 5:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 5:38:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 5:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,428.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 50
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
5.1x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
35,428.68 QUAI
50 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35429 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 -> 0x00E44190F0078a1CD0e26760F5b9ebac7E8A9332 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 5:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
35,428.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
15,429.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
50.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00E44190F0078a1CD0e26760F5b9ebac7E8A9332
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.83 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 → 0x00E44190F0078a1CD0e26760F5b9ebac7E8A9332
2 repeated flows • 50 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 35,428.68 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
35,428.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:38:15 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:37:05 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:39:27 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:35:55 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:34:44 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:40:37 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
15,987.17 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:33:32 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
4,680 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 5:41:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 5:38:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
0.82 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 5:38:26 P.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00E44190F0078a1CD0e26760F5b9ebac7E8A9332
Tx: 0x00390086c6edc0f5acd3b8048f4ea9b1a55b55fbf95ed2618e1ffc52eead33f9
15,429.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 5:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a003fef187eb7a874be0715e35ca142a0b431c80e8eb50b14a65f3d06df2b
19,998.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 5:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046003b6b0b7ae36f7a45d4e63b5c5874d38eb62e15a7f0093413c902856fc8
50 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 5:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00E44190F0078a1CD0e26760F5b9ebac7E8A9332
Tx: 0x00340036abbce7c0187578254447c2cfd753191db447c3cd94cc84053c92fde8