Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 4:08:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 474.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
372.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 372 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
372.09 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
134.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
127.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
110.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.23 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 372.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
372.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:08:25 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate10 tx
4,638.86 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:07:12 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:06:01 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,133.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
40.47 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:04:50 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:10:47 P.M.
-4 min
51 tx
2,535.22 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:03:39 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:11:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
134.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:42 P.M.
From: 0x002421a135338777A2A26f2fb6f5ca5FEa8CA7d3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0071000f0359859901f3f77fd3590d42c726079774d4c05081ae03893dd3da79
87.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:42 P.M.
From: 0x0032e1629eDf553A2c22E853166F2F312D3484E4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006700218e1c2e9376b69d73627c75fd3821b3fe9310101df2b2a2c0ff6e3b76
4.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:42 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001400130eab01437a38db9d895bb5844e39c65f2b7ee44c269709b4fbb39b84
5.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:42 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0026007c00d9566b5fb06cd7cddb31d57619be445b19f6c003ed4381c181be91
110.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010021892b35942fae3124f8e0b1e778a1f31d37d79a0a9502e706a1acf80e
134.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b002c64bcc2441def3620a76a4535bf1fa8bb877036501fcc6e884a76f388
127.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056001df87e9a850d673468980661dab5645bf53721360c2c219de96ce7ad03
