Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 3:49:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 3:49:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 3:50:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,001.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 3:49:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
14,999.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,999.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,999.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:49:28 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
16,512.59 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:48:17 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:47:06 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
15,001.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:50:39 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:45:53 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:51:50 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
46.94 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:44:42 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
556.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:53:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,999.63 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:49:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
14,999.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:49:53 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00160036d68337df114e58bab6f1b9af688ec366c791f3248a084221505424fc
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:49:53 P.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
Tx: 0x00680016800109dc3ef89472fd48716b3f8e1011f28e3ffb2f983cea344884b6
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:49:53 P.M.
From: 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
To: 0x004449090A972b43c598044e98a83382D29118a6
Tx: 0x00100044880a2ef181b5d2630c3889c6da3106ac927c568052ea0da200c18c60